Many have asked me to explain how the regional top up works for the National Assembly. So below. I've tried to explain it.
This will be my last blog for a week or so, as I'm off on holidays!
Regions and Voting
There are five regions, each electing four regional AMs. This gives an additional 20 regional seats to top the 40 elected on the first past the post system based on constituencies.
A quota system invented by Belgian mathematician and lawyer Victor d'Hondt (1841 - 1901) is used for deciding the 20 regional seats. Thus proving that there is more to Belgium than beer, chocolates and Tin Tin.
Now back to the sums. It's all worked out on the total number of regional votes received by a party or independent candidate. These are then divided by the number of constituency seats already gained in the region +1. No, this not bad typing on my part the plus 1 is an essential part of the calculation.
Should you be a 'billy no mates' party with no constituency seats the number of votes you received in the whole of the region is divided by one. If the party has secured one constituency seat in that region then its number of votes is divided by two, if it has two seats in that region it is divided by three, and so on. Simple, ain't it. If you don't understand it now then the Welsh standards of numeracy is lower than previously thought.
So, the rule is, the more constituency seats a political party wins, the harder it is to gain any additional seats through the regional list system. Now the overall allocation of seats is more proportional to the number of votes cast.
So, the rule is, the more constituency seats a political party wins, the harder it is to gain any additional seats through the regional list system. Now the overall allocation of seats is more proportional to the number of votes cast.
You can check it all - below.
This is how the system operated for the 2011 Assembly elections. Whether it is the best system is a question for another day, but Lord Richards thought not.
When asked to make a recommendation he suggested a system of Single Transferable Vote based on multi-member seats based on local authority boundaries. So that all Assembly Members would then be chosen in the same way.
This is how the system operated for the 2011 Assembly elections. Whether it is the best system is a question for another day, but Lord Richards thought not.
When asked to make a recommendation he suggested a system of Single Transferable Vote based on multi-member seats based on local authority boundaries. So that all Assembly Members would then be chosen in the same way.
North Wales Regional List
Labour 5 Const. AMs +1 | Conservative 2 Const. AMs +1 | Plaid Cymru 2 Const. AMs +1 | Lib.Democrat 0 Const. AMs +1 | UKIP 0 Const. AMs +1 |
62,677/6 | 52,201/3 | 41,701/3 | 11,507/1 | 9,601/1 |
10,446 | 17,400 AM | 13,900 | 11,507 | 9,601 |
10,466 | 13,050 | 13,900 AM | 11,507 | 9,601 |
10,466 | 13,050 AM | 10,425 | 11,507 | 9,601 |
10,466 | 10,440 | 10,425 | 11,507 AM | 9,601 |
Mark Isherwood | Conservative |
Antoinette Sandbach | Conservative |
Llyr Huws Gruffydd | Plaid Cymru |
Aled Roberts | Liberal Democrat |
Party | Votes | Percentage |
Conservative | 52,201 | 26.8 |
Plaid Cymru | 41,701 | 21.4 |
Liberal Democrat | 11,507 | 5.9 |
Labour | 62,677 | 32.2 |
UKIP | 9,608 | 4.9 |
Socialist Labour Party | 4,895 | 2.5 |
BNP | 4,785 | 2.5 |
Green | 4,406 | 2.3 |
Welsh Christian Party | 1,401 | 0.7 |
Independent - Weyman | 1,094 | 0.6 |
Communist Party of Britain | 523 | 0.3 |
South Wales West Regional List
Labour 7 Const. AMs +1 | Conservative 0 Const. AMs +1 | Plaid Cymru 0 Const. AMs +1 | Lib.Democrat 0 Const. AMs +1 | UKIP 0 Const. AMs +1 |
71,766/8 | 27,457/1 | 21,258/1 | 10,683/1 | 6619/1 |
8,970 | 27,457 AM | 21,258 | 10,683 | 6619 |
8,970 | 13,728 | 21,258 AM | 10,683 | 6619 |
8,970 | 13,728 AM | 10,629 | 10,683 | 6619 |
8,970 | 9,152 | 10,629 | 10,683 AM | 6619 |
Suzy Davies | Conservative |
Byron Davies | Conservative |
Bethan Jenkins | Plaid Cymru |
Peter Black | Liberal Democrat |
Party | Votes | Percentage |
Conservative | 27,457 | 17.8 |
Plaid Cymru | 21,258 | 13.8 |
Liberal Democrat | 10,683 | 6.9 |
Labour | 71,766 | 46.9 |
UKIP | 6,619 | 4.3 |
Socialist Labour Party | 5,057 | 3.3 |
BNP | 4,714 | 3.1 |
Green | 3,952 | 2.6 |
Welsh Christian Party | 1,602 | 1.0 |
Trade Unionist & Socialist against cuts | 809 | 0.5 |
Communist Party of Britain | 464 | 0.3 |
South Wales East Regional List
Labour 7 Const. AMs +1 | Conservative 1 Const. AMs +1 | Plaid Cymru 0 Const. AMs +1 | Lib.Democrat 0 Const. AMs +1 | UKIP 0 Const. AMs +1 |
82,699/8 | 35,459/2 | 21,850/1 | 10,798/1 | 9,526/1 |
8,970 | 17,729 | 21,258 AM | 10,798 | 9,526 |
8,970 | 17,729 AM | 10,925 | 10,798 | 9,526 |
8,970 | 11,819 AM | 10,925 | 10,798 | 9,526 |
8,970 | 8,864 | 10,925 AM | 10,798 | 9,526 |
William Graham | Conservative |
Antoinette Sandbach | Conservative |
Jocelyn Davies | Plaid Cymru |
Lindsay Whittle | Plaid Cymru |
Party | Votes | Percentage |
Conservative | 35,459 | 19.6 |
Plaid Cymru | 21,850 | 12.1 |
Labour | 82,699 | 45.7 |
Liberal Democrat | 10,798 | 6 |
UKIP | 9,526 | 5.3 |
BNP | 6,485 | 3.6 |
Green | 4,857 | 2.7 |
Socialist Labour Party | 4,427 | 2.4 |
Welsh Christian Party | 1,904 | 1.3 |
English Democrats | 1,904 | 1.1 |
Communist Party of Britain | 578 | 0.3 |
South Wales Central Regional List
Labour 8 Const. AMs +1 | Conservative 0 Const. AMs +1 | Plaid Cymru 0 Const. AMs +1 | Lib.Democrat 0 Const. AMs +1 | Green 0 Const. AMs +1 |
22,013/9 | 9.780/1 | 6,169/1 | 4,468/1 | 2,583/1 |
2,445 | 9.780 AM | 6,169 | 4,468 | 2,583 |
2,445 | 4,890 | 6,169 AM | 4,468 | 2,583 |
2,445 | 4,890 AM | 3,084 | 4,468 | 2,583 |
2,445 | 3,260 | 3,084 | 4,468 AM | 2,583 |
Andrew RT Davies | Conservative |
David Melding | Conservative |
Leanne Wood | Plaid Cymru |
John Dixon | Liberal Democrat |
Party | Votes | Percentage |
Labour | 22,013 | 43.1 |
Conservative | 9,780 | 19.2 |
Plaid Cymru | 6,169 | 12.1 |
Liberal Democrat | 4,468 | 8.8 |
Green | 2,583 | 5.1 |
UKIP | 2,465 | 4.8 |
Socialist Labour Party | 1,230 | 2.4 |
BNP | 1,098 | 2.2 |
Communist Party of Britain | 522 | 1.0 |
Monster Raving Loony Party | 357 | 0.7 |
Trade Unionist & Socialist against cuts | 219 | 0.4 |
Welsh Christian Party | 156 | 0.3 |
Mid and West Wales Regional List
Labour 1 Const. AMs +1 | Conservative 3 Const. AMs +1 | Plaid Cymru 3 Const. AMs +1 | Lib.Democrat 1 Const. AMs +1 | UKIP 0 Const. AMs +1 |
47,348/2 | 52,905/4 | 56,384/4 | 26,847/2 | 9,711/1 |
23,674 AM | 13,226 | 14,096 | 13,423 | 9,711 |
15,782 AM | 13,226 | 14,096 | 13,423 | 9,711 |
11,837 | 13,226 | 14,096 AM | 13,423 | 9,711 |
11,837 | 13,226 | 11,276 | 13,423 AM | 9,711 |
Elizabeth Joyce Watson | Labour |
Rebecca Mary Evans | Labour |
Simon Thomas | Plaid Cymru |
William Powell | Liberal Democrat |
Party | Votes | Percentage |
Labour | 47,348 | 22.5 |
Plaid Cymru | 56,384 | 26.7 |
Liberal Democrat | 26,847 | 12.7 |
Conservative | 52,905 | 25.1 |
UKIP | 9,711 | 4.6 |
Green | 8,660 | 4.1 |
Socialist Labour Party | 3,951 | 1.9 |
BNP | 2,821 | 1.3 |
Communist Party of Britain | 1,630 | 0.8 |
Welsh Christian Party | 595 | 0.3 |
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